Pre-tourney Rankings
Morehead St.
Ohio Valley
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.3#144
Expected Predictive Rating+0.7#157
Pace63.9#316
Improvement-2.1#275

Offense
Total Offense-0.4#181
First Shot-4.3#295
After Offensive Rebound+3.9#6
Layup/Dunks-0.4#195
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#99
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.1#309
Freethrows-1.1#255
Improvement+0.3#168

Defense
Total Defense+1.7#122
First Shot+0.7#150
After Offensive Rebounds+0.9#81
Layups/Dunks-0.9#217
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#7
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#40
Freethrows-4.8#349
Improvement-2.5#297
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 16, 2015 121   @ Illinois St. L 66-67 33%     0 - 1 +4.9 +1.1 +3.7
  Nov 21, 2015 255   @ Northern Kentucky W 64-56 66%     1 - 1 +5.2 +3.0 +3.9
  Nov 24, 2015 150   Marshall W 85-61 63%     2 - 1 +21.9 +0.1 +19.8
  Nov 28, 2015 302   Southern Miss W 61-46 89%     3 - 1 +2.8 -5.5 +11.3
  Dec 02, 2015 211   @ Saint Louis W 60-46 56%     4 - 1 +13.7 -4.6 +19.4
  Dec 05, 2015 13   @ Indiana L 59-92 6%     4 - 2 -14.0 -9.5 -3.4
  Dec 13, 2015 34   @ Pittsburgh L 62-72 11%     4 - 3 +4.8 -4.0 +8.6
  Dec 20, 2015 194   Western Carolina W 60-52 73%     5 - 3 +3.0 -11.8 +15.1
  Dec 23, 2015 105   @ Davidson L 77-81 27%     5 - 4 +3.8 +1.8 +2.1
  Dec 28, 2015 122   Green Bay L 72-78 55%     5 - 5 -6.0 -1.4 -4.6
  Dec 30, 2015 155   @ East Tennessee St. L 72-75 41%     5 - 6 +0.6 -1.6 +2.2
  Jan 02, 2016 174   @ Murray St. L 57-62 47%     5 - 7 0 - 1 -2.8 -5.0 +1.2
  Jan 07, 2016 338   Southeast Missouri St. W 96-69 94%     6 - 7 1 - 1 +10.4 +11.9 -2.8
  Jan 09, 2016 220   Tennessee Martin W 64-58 77%     7 - 7 2 - 1 -0.5 -11.3 +11.1
  Jan 14, 2016 309   @ SIU Edwardsville W 70-67 OT 79%     8 - 7 3 - 1 -4.1 -4.5 +0.4
  Jan 16, 2016 264   @ Eastern Illinois L 82-84 OT 68%     8 - 8 3 - 2 -5.5 +0.8 -6.2
  Jan 21, 2016 197   Tennessee Tech W 81-74 73%     9 - 8 4 - 2 +1.9 +2.3 -0.3
  Jan 24, 2016 293   Jacksonville St. L 74-78 88%     9 - 9 4 - 3 -15.7 -0.9 -14.9
  Jan 27, 2016 228   Austin Peay W 75-65 78%     10 - 9 5 - 3 +3.2 +0.5 +3.2
  Jan 30, 2016 201   @ Eastern Kentucky W 70-67 54%     11 - 9 6 - 3 +3.3 -6.6 +9.9
  Feb 04, 2016 138   @ Belmont L 67-73 37%     11 - 10 6 - 4 -1.2 -6.4 +5.0
  Feb 06, 2016 167   @ Tennessee St. L 76-77 46%     11 - 11 6 - 5 +1.4 +4.6 -3.2
  Feb 11, 2016 201   Eastern Kentucky W 61-50 74%     12 - 11 7 - 5 +5.5 -6.7 +14.1
  Feb 13, 2016 138   Belmont W 78-77 59%     13 - 11 8 - 5 +0.0 +4.7 -4.7
  Feb 18, 2016 167   Tennessee St. W 66-61 68%     14 - 11 9 - 5 +1.6 -2.8 +4.7
  Feb 25, 2016 197   @ Tennessee Tech W 69-59 52%     15 - 11 10 - 5 +10.8 -3.4 +14.7
  Feb 27, 2016 293   @ Jacksonville St. W 82-71 75%     16 - 11 11 - 5 +5.2 +5.0 +0.0
  Mar 03, 2016 174   Murray St. W 75-66 58%     17 - 11 +8.3 +9.3 +0.1
  Mar 04, 2016 220   Tennessee Martin L 70-83 68%     17 - 12 -16.5 -8.1 -8.1
Projected Record 17.0 - 12.0 11.0 - 5.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 0.0%
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 100.0% 100.0
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%